Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AIR CANADA · FLIGHT AC 1509SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AC 1509 · EWR → YYZ
departs 4:30 PM ET · arrives 6:30 PM EDT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?
16%chance · ±0 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to YYZ?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.