Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AEROMÉXICO · FLIGHT AM 686SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AM 686 · MEX → ORD
departs 8:50 AM CST · arrives 2:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 39h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
20%chance · ±1 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.