Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AEROMÉXICO · FLIGHT AM 686SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AM 686 · MEX → ORD
departs 8:49 AM CST · arrives 2:06 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
14%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.