tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AVIANCA · FLIGHT AV 5 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AV 5 · MIA → BOG

departs 8:19 AM ET · arrives 10:58 AM -05
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 55h before departure
Arrive at BOG more than 15 minutes late?
10% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.3d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to BOG?

  1. On time or early
    89%
  2. 15–30 min late
    4%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.