Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1694
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 1694 · MCO → HPN
departs 8:17 PM ET · arrives 11:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 33%
Sat 10/31 26%
Sun 11/1 40%
Mon 11/2 30%
Tue 11/3 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±2 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at HPN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HPN?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
HPN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
HPN (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.