Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1694
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
B6 1694 · MCO → HPN
departs 8:17 PM ET · arrives 11:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Thu 10/29 38%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 26%
Sun 11/1 40%
Mon 11/2 30%
Tue 11/3 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at HPN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HPN?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HPN
↓
HPN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HPN (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.