Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1728
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 1728 · MCO → EWR
departs 6:18 PM ET · arrives 9:02 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 50%
Sat 10/31 52%
Sun 11/1 65%
Mon 11/2 47%
Tue 11/3 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±6 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 42% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.