Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1728
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
B6 1728 · MCO → EWR
departs 6:18 PM ET · arrives 9:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Thu 10/29 46%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 52%
Sun 11/1 65%
Mon 11/2 47%
Tue 11/3 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
57%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed – in 24h
–
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed – in 24h
–
57%
Yes 57%
No 43%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 42% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
↓
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at MCO that day
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
EWR (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.