Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1751
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 1751 · TPA → SJU
departs 2:41 PM ET · arrives 5:52 PM AT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 27%
Sat 10/31 22%
Sun 11/1 26%
Mon 11/2 23%
Tue 11/3 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±3 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
2pm departures from TPA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
TPA usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SJU (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.