Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1751
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
B6 1751 · TPA → SJU
departs 2:41 PM ET · arrives 5:49 PM AT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 10/29 25%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 22%
Sun 11/1 26%
Mon 11/2 23%
Tue 11/3 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
SJU is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at SJU that day
↓
TPA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
SJU (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.