Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2523
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 2523 · DCA → MCO
departs 6:55 PM ET · arrives 9:17 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 41%
Sun 11/1 43%
Mon 11/2 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±5 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
6pm departures from DCA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.