Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 282
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 282 · IAH → JFK
departs 5:17 PM CT · arrives 10:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 43%
Sat 10/31 48%
Sun 11/1 53%
Mon 11/2 44%
Tue 11/3 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±5 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 57%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 45% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
JFK (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.