Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 282
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
B6 282 · IAH → JFK
departs 5:16 PM CT · arrives 10:02 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Thu 10/29 42%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 48%
Sun 11/1 53%
Mon 11/2 44%
Tue 11/3 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
43%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
43%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed – in 24h
–
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 45% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
5pm departures from IAH are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 7,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
JFK (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.