Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 419
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 419 · JFK → ATL
departs 3:08 PM ET · arrives 5:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 42%
Sat 10/31 53%
Sun 11/1 50%
Mon 11/2 40%
Tue 11/3 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±6 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from JFK are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.