Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 419
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
B6 419 · JFK → ATL
departs 3:25 PM ET · arrives 5:57 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Thu 10/29 45%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 53%
Sun 11/1 50%
Mon 11/2 40%
Tue 11/3 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from JFK are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.