Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 539
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 539 · JFK → BQN
departs 6:38 PM ET · arrives 10:41 PM AT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 45%
Sat 10/31 45%
Sun 11/1 57%
Mon 11/2 39%
Tue 11/3 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at BQN more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BQN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at BQN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BQN?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from JFK are often late
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BQN (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.