Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 955 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

B6 955 · JFK → DCA

departs 9:30 PM ET · arrives 10:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 38h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±6 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 43% of the time recently

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ 9pm departures from JFK are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at DCA that day

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 955 · JFK → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?