Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

BRITISH AIRWAYS · FLIGHT BA 191 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

BA 191 · LHR → AUS

departs 11:10 AM GMT · arrives 4:42 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ 11am departures from LHR are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LHR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS

Weather at each end

LHR (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

BA 191 · LHR → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?