Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

BRITISH AIRWAYS · FLIGHT BA 191 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

BA 191 · LHR → AUS

departs 10:52 AM GMT · arrives 4:25 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 56h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ 10am departures from LHR are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LHR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS

Weather at each end

LHR (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

BA 191 · LHR → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?