tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

COPA · FLIGHT CM 427 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

CM 427 · PTY → MIA

departs 6:15 PM EST · arrives 10:18 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
36% chance · ±2 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.8d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    62%
  2. 15–30 min late
    22%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.