DL 11 · LAX → MEL

took off 9:07 PM PT · landed 5:48 AM AEDT (scheduled 9:10 PM PT → 6:04 AM AEDT)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MEL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late did it get to MEL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 9pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Arrivals into MEL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MEL (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 11 · LAX → MEL

Odds over time

How late did it get to MEL?