DL 162 · MSP → AMS

took off 8:22 PM CT · landed 9:58 AM CET (scheduled 8:16 PM CT → 10:16 AM CET)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at AMS more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to AMS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from MSP are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AMS (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 162 · MSP → AMS

Odds over time

How late did it get to AMS?