Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2076
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Yesterday
DL 2076 · DTW → PHX
departs 8:44 PM ET · arrives 9:48 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Today 57%
Sun 11/1 58%
Mon 11/2 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.11 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.