DL 2807 · ATL → PNS

took off 11:21 PM ET · landed 11:07 PM CT (scheduled 11:28 PM ET → 11:43 PM CT)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PNS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 11pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ Cloud base down to 1,400 ft forecast at ATL that day

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

PNS (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2807 · ATL → PNS

Odds over time

How late did it get to PNS?