Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3139 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Yesterday

DL 3139 · ATL → CLT

departs 8:40 PM ET · arrives 9:57 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ 8pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 1,400 ft forecast at ATL that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3139 · ATL → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?