Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 544 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Yesterday

DL 544 · DTW → LAS

departs 6:40 PM ET · arrives 7:54 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±2 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.11 in

LAS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling8,571 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 544 · DTW → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?