F9 1291 · MSP → DEN

departs 6:56 AM CT · arrives 8:09 AM MT

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 1291 · MSP → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?