Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2013
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
F9 2013 · TTN → MCO
departs 7:35 PM ET · arrives 10:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 33%
Sat 10/31 30%
Sun 11/1 42%
Mon 11/2 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave TTN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
TTN is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TTN
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TTN (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.