Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2013
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
F9 2013 · TTN → MCO
departs 7:33 PM ET · arrives 10:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29 41%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 30%
Sun 11/1 42%
Mon 11/2 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave TTN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
TTN is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TTN
↓
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at MCO that day
Weather at each end
TTN (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.