Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2505
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
F9 2505 · PHL → MCO
departs 6:06 PM ET · arrives 9:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 42%
Sat 10/31 30%
Sun 11/1 42%
Mon 11/2 36%
Tue 11/3 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.