Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3134
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
F9 3134 · CLT → LGA
departs 3:49 PM ET · arrives 5:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 61h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Wed 10/28 27%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 66%
Sat 10/31 37%
Sun 11/1 58%
Mon 11/2 43%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed – in 24h
–
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed – in 24h
–
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 41% of the time recently
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from CLT are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
LGA (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.