Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4093
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
F9 4093 · CLT → MCO
departs 12:37 AM ET · arrives 2:21 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Wed 10/28 15%
Thu 10/29
Sat 10/31 24%
Mon 11/2 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
Gusts to 29 kt forecast at MCO that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.