Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2866
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
G4 2866 · SFB → HTS
departs 6:22 PM ET · arrives 8:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Thu 10/29
Odds over time
Arrive at HTS more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±3 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HTS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at HTS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HTS?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HTS
↓
HTS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.05 in
HTS (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.