Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4174
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
G7 4174 · DCA → EWR
departs 8:17 PM ET · arrives 9:31 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 29%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 41%
Sun 11/1 53%
Mon 11/2 30%
Tue 11/3 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late
↑
8pm departures from DCA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
↓
Cloud base down to 100 ft forecast at DCA that day
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
EWR (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.