Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4511 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

G7 4511 · EWR → ILM

departs 9:17 PM ET · arrives 11:20 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 43h before departure

Arrive at ILM more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±3 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ILM?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 9pm departures from EWR are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ ILM usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ILM (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G7 4511 · EWR → ILM

Odds over time

How late will it get to ILM?