Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4511
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
G7 4511 · EWR → ILM
departs 8:55 PM ET · arrives 10:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Thu 10/29 22%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 30%
Sun 11/1 43%
Mon 11/2 28%
Tue 11/3 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at ILM more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ILM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at ILM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ILM?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
8pm departures from EWR are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ILM
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ILM (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.