Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3413
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
MQ 3413 · CLT → EYW
departs 1:52 PM ET · arrives 4:04 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 20%
Sat 10/31 26%
Sun 11/1 23%
Mon 11/2 17%
Tue 11/3 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at EYW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EYW?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EYW is prone to delays
↑
1pm departures from CLT are often late
↑
CLT is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EYW
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
EYW (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.