Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3735
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
MQ 3735 · DFW → AGU
departs 8:02 PM CT · arrives 9:17 PM CST
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 22%
Sat 10/31 21%
Sun 11/1 24%
Mon 11/2 21%
Tue 11/3 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at AGU more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±1 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AGU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at AGU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AGU?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AGU
↓
AGU usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
AGU (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.