Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3787
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
MQ 3787 · MFE → DFW
departs 8:04 PM CT · arrives 9:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 25%
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±3 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave MFE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
MFE usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MFE (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.