Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4279
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
MQ 4279 · MAF → DFW
departs 8:08 PM CT · arrives 9:24 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 37%
Sat 10/31 15%
Sun 11/1 16%
Mon 11/2 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
49%
chance · ±5 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
49%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Leave MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MAF that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MAF usually runs smoothly
↓
8pm departures from MAF are usually not late
Weather at each end
MAF (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 267 ft Visibility 2.66667 mi Precip 0.58 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.