Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5030 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

OH 5030 · YYZ → CLT

departs 6:09 PM EDT · arrives 8:19 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 31h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ YYZ usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

YYZ (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

CLT (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5030 · YYZ → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?