Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5045 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

OH 5045 · YYZ → CLT

departs 7:26 PM EDT · arrives 9:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 31h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ CLT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

YYZ (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.02 in

CLT (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5045 · YYZ → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?