OH 5095 · CAE → DCA

departs 6:39 PM ET · arrives 8:18 PM ET

Your aircraft is N534AE (CRJ7), coming in as OH 5095 from DCA: landed 5:41 PM ET.

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±0 pts −25 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 41% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CAE

Weather at each end

CAE (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5095 · CAE → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?