Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5130 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

OH 5130 · CLT → EWN

departs 2:49 PM ET · arrives 4:08 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 29h before departure

Arrive at EWN more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWN?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ 2pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at EWN that day

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EWN (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5130 · CLT → EWN

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWN?