Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5230 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

OH 5230 · DCA → BTR

departs 9:05 PM ET · arrives 10:46 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at BTR more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±2 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BTR?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BTR

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

BTR (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5230 · DCA → BTR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BTR?