Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5344 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

OH 5344 · DCA → ROC

departs 10:12 PM ET · arrives 11:37 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±3 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ROC?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ 10pm departures from DCA are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at DCA that day

↓ ROC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

ROC (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5344 · DCA → ROC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ROC?