Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5430 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

OH 5430 · ECP → DFW

departs 7:07 PM CT · arrives 9:28 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 31h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±4 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ECP

↓ ECP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ECP (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5430 · ECP → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?