Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5434 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

OH 5434 · DFW → MAF

departs 10:36 PM CT · arrives 12:00 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±7 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MAF?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MAF that day

↑ 10pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Arrivals into MAF at that hour are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MAF usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

MAF (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling267 ft Visibility2.66667 mi Precip0.58 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5434 · DFW → MAF

Odds over time

How late will it get to MAF?