Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5530 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

OH 5530 · CLT → AVL

departs 10:59 PM ET · arrives 11:54 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 33h before departure

Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AVL?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AVL

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AVL (destination) Gusts3 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5530 · CLT → AVL

Odds over time

How late will it get to AVL?