Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5564 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

OH 5564 · CLT → PIA

departs 3:05 PM ET · arrives 4:13 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 31h before departure

Arrive at PIA more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIA?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5564 · CLT → PIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIA?